Re: [閒聊] 明年補強
: CC,年終結算,ERA 4.73,FIP 4.68 ,BABIP.317, LOB% 74.2
: 很可惜說要為我們分享WHIP當道的Sabmeteric社群內容的板友放鳥了
: 想來CC最後LOB%高過Chris Sale,當然是因為他壓制力更勝Sale的緣故
ERA 4.73,FIP 4.68
WOW 多麼偉大的神蹟 FIP是多麼神準! 相關性高到破表 是吧?
..去多做一些研究 看看人家的作法.. 學習然後培養實作的能力好不好?
以今年所有投手來說
WHIP跟ERA的相關係數是0.74
FIP跟ERA的相關係數是0.55
如果我們把所有的投手case都拿來評估
神之FIP 簡直是被WHIP海放
(如果只看投出足夠局數的投手 兩方差距會明顯縮小 但依然是WHIP獲勝)
小弟六月的文章已經解釋得很清楚了
FIP強項是年與年重複性高 但是跟ERA關聯不強
WHIP跟ERA關聯強 但年與年重複性不高
PO 出ERA跟FIP的數據比較 簡直就是露屁股給人家打
當然異次元有異次元的玩法 看到CC這個CASE準 就出水了也不是不可能
小弟也不指望跟異次元的前輩能有甚麼溝通
畢竟那個世界裡 FIP也不是用來預測ERA的
連FIP的發明者Tango都還沒想通這個環節 只能說人類真的很落後
喔對了 其他內容很棒 真的 拜讀了
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會就會 不會就不會
不要自己空想一些理論
進了異次元很難拉回來
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