[情報] Pittsburgh Pirates Top 20 Prospects for 2009
Pittsburgh Pirates Top 20 Prospects for 2009
John Sickels
All grades are EXTREMELY PRELIMINARY and subject to change. Don’t get too
worried about exact rankings at this point, especially once you get out of
the top 10. Grade C+/C guys are pretty interchangeable depending on what you
are looking for.
1) Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Grade A-:
If things turn out the way they should, no
one will remember the contract hassle with Boras.
Has superstar hitting ability if he stays healthy
and doesn’t lose the strike zone.
2) Andrew McCutchen, OF, Grade B+:
Power has been a bit disappointing, and he
still needs more polish on the bases, but
defense is coming along and he’s improved
his plate discipline. Still very young, you
can still make an A- case.
3) Jose Tabata, OF, Grade B+:
I know people are starting to wonder about him,
but he’s still extremely young, just one year
out of high school in North American terms. If
a 2007 high school draftee hit .348/.402/.562
in a 22-game late-season trial in Double-A, people
would be salivating.
4) Bryan Morris, RHP, Grade B-:
An aggressive grade from me, but I’m
impressed by how well he did one year after TJ surgery.
5) Daniel McCutchen, RHP, Grade C+:
Looks like he could be a nice fourth
starter, but possibly more dominant if used in pen.
6) Neil Walker, 3B, Grade C+:
Slippage in strike zone judgment is worrisome,
but he’s still quite young and adapted well
to third base. When Andy LaRoche gets hurt again,
Walker could have a brief window of opportunity before
Alvarez is ready.
7) Jimmy Barthmaier, RHP, Grade C+:
Overlooked refugee from Astros system
still flashes good potential and did well in Triple-A.
8) Evan Meek, RHP, Grade C+:
Love the power sinker and he’s shown signs of
improved control, although it didn’t show up
in brief major league trial.
9) Robbie Grossman, OF, Grade C+:
Very toolsy, could be a Seven Skill guy if
he maintains the patience he showed in very
brief rookie ball trial. High ceiling, could
rank much higher a year from now.
10) Jim Negrych, 2B, Grade C+:
I don’t completely buy into the Carolina
League power spike, but he should continue
to hit for average.
11) Shelby Ford, 2B, Grade C+:
Scrappy second base type, does a lot of things
right though his tools are just average.
12) Matt Hague, 3B, Grade C+:
He always hit in college, and he’s hit great
as a pro, too. Will probably move to the outfield.
An overlooked sleeper.
13) Ron Uviedo, RHP, Grade C+:
Added to 40-man roster, looks like power
bullpen arm with control.
14) Brian Friday, SS, Grade C:
I like the glove and the hustle, but am
concerned about bad back and lack of power.
15) Quinton Miller, RHP, Grade C:
Very high ceiling guy, hasn’t pitched yet
but scouting reports are strong. Baseball
Prospectus’ Kevin Goldstein likes
him a lot, and Kevin has a good eye for guys like this.
16) Romulo Sanchez, RHP, Grade C:
Less than 50 innings so he qualifies.
Lively arm, could be good bullpen asset.
17) Donald Veal, LHP, Grade C:
Rule 5 guy from Cubs. Change of scenery and
move to relief may do him a lot of good.
18) Brad Lincoln, RHP, Grade C:
I’m afraid he might be the next Bryan
Bullington, but it is too soon to give up.
Needs another year past TJ to be sure.
19) Dan Moskos, LHP, Grade C:
He pitched much better in the bullpen in
August. Could make a really good LOOGY
or maybe even a closer, but it is not
his fault that the Pirates picked him
instead of Wieters.
20) Jarek Cunningham, 3B, Grade C:
Played very well in rookie ball, strong
bat, his stock had dropped pre-draft due to injury.
Others: Brian Bixler, SS: Chase D’Arnaud, SS: Robinzon Diaz, C; Wes Freeman,
OF; Jason Jaramillo, C; Brent Klinger, RHP; Quincy Latimore, OF; Steve Lerud,
C; Jordy Mercer, SS; Jamie Romak, 1B-OF; Jeff Sues, RHP; Tony Watson, LHP.
As usual, don’t sweat so much about where the Grade C+/C types rank exactly
on this list. After I get past the top 10 I don’t worry so much about exact
placement, since I’m trying to concentrate on the book right now. Some of
the Grade C guys could be C+ in the book, and vice versa.
SYSTEM IN BRIEF
The Pirates system is quite thin, but showing signs of improvement.
During the Dave Littlefield years, they avoid heavy investment in the
draft and usually went with polished, cheap college guys, unfortunately
without a lot of success. The killer was the choice of Moskos over Wieters in
2007. The new regime put a lot more money into the draft in ’08, going after
guys with questionable signability but higher upside like Grossman, Freeman,
Miller, and Cunningham. At the same time, they also mixed in college types
like Mercer, D’arnaud, and Hague.
I like that approach. I think the best way to build a farm system is to
mix both college players and high school players, guys with skills and guys
with tools. Concentrating on one type of player to the exclusion of others is
just asking for trouble. The Pirates went too far in the “polished” player
direction under Littlefield, but I was concerned they might go too far in the
“raw tools” direction under Huntington. If the ’08 class is any
indication, they are trying to find a balance, which is good news. It will
take time, but it will pay dividends.
In any event, the system as it stands now has three potential impact guys
at the top, then a whole bunch of guys who could be good role players or are
just too far away to tell yet.
Full reports on these players and over 1,000 others can be found in the 2009
Baseball Prospect Book. Pre-order for January 31st shipping now!
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