2009 Projected Red Sox WAR Results

看板RedSox作者時間17年前 (2009/01/10 20:37), 編輯推噓6(607)
留言13則, 6人參與, 最新討論串1/2 (看更多)
http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=p6sCbORQyqZL1kFefQovaGA&hl=en For the wOBA, IP, and FIP projections I used an average of CHONE, Marcels, and Bill James 2009 projections. All are weighted equally. The PA projections are not very accurate because alot depends on who the starter and who the back up is. I came up with the PA for all the hitters. WAR/ Hitter Pos PA wOBA 700PA WAR Josh Bard CA 350 .326 3.17 1.6 George Kottaras CA 350 .330 3.46 1.7 Kevin Youkilis 1B 600 .377 4.40 3.8 Mark Kotsay 1B 300 .312 -.16 -.1 Dustin Pedroia 2B 700 .370 5.86 5.9 Jed Lowrie SS 575 .340 5.57 4.6 Julio Lugo SS 250 .311 1.67 .6 Mike Lowell 3B 475 .343 3.84 2.6 Jason Bay LF 625 .370 3.23 2.9 Jacoby Ellsbury CF 600 .348 5.31 4.6 Rocco Balldelli CF 400 .345 3.70 2.1 JD Drew RF 475 .372 4.96 3.4 David Ortiz DH 525 .407 4.70 3.5 Chris Carter DH 270 .342 .88 .3 Pitcher IP ERA WAR Jon Lester 179 4.09 3.0 Daisuke Matsuzaka 172 3.98 3.2 Josh Beckett 178 3.63 4.1 Tim Wakefield 150 4.83 1.3 Clay Buchholz 107 4.22 1.6 Brad Penny 129 4.09 2.2 John Smoltz 94 3.73 2.0 Jon Papelbon 68 2.78 3.1 Ramon Ramirez 65 3.68 1.0 Hideki Okajima 61 3.67 0.8 Justin Masterson 65 4.10 0.4 Manny Delcarmen 74 3.52 0.9 Javier Lopez 58 4.22 0.2 David Aardsma 52 4.54 0.0 Group WAR Hitters 37.4 Pitchers 23.8 TOTAL 61.3 Predicted Wins: 106.3 ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.160.70.103

01/10 20:53, , 1F
Lowell和Drew都475PA @@ 希望豬能超過這個數字 如果Lugo
01/10 20:53, 1F

01/10 20:54, , 2F
真的只打250PA該偷笑嗎?
01/10 20:54, 2F

01/10 20:55, , 3F
Lugo '08年是307 今年先發位置又不見
01/10 20:55, 3F

01/10 20:56, , 4F
打者部份 老爹、捕手、Lowrie感覺高估 其他感覺ok
01/10 20:56, 4F

01/10 20:57, , 5F
投手先發牛棚都感覺都低估了一點
01/10 20:57, 5F

01/10 20:58, , 6F
Ellsbury數字是期待中的 也應該低一點
01/10 20:58, 6F

01/10 21:00, , 7F
以這種陣容來看我們根本不需要Salty...
01/10 21:00, 7F

01/10 21:13, , 8F
106 wins ........ 真歡樂 ....
01/10 21:13, 8F

01/10 23:01, , 9F
好HI的勝場數...
01/10 23:01, 9F

01/10 23:38, , 10F
106....0rz
01/10 23:38, 10F
※ 編輯: Belladonaa 來自: 118.160.70.103 (01/11 00:05)

01/11 02:15, , 11F
我是覺得Ellsbury和Pedroia會下修些
01/11 02:15, 11F

01/11 03:55, , 12F
Salty如果換來是為了未來十年 不是只考慮明年
01/11 03:55, 12F

01/11 04:14, , 13F
Bell的意思是我們明年的預期陣容不需要Salty就夠了
01/11 04:14, 13F
文章代碼(AID): #19Q9Q3bN (RedSox)
文章代碼(AID): #19Q9Q3bN (RedSox)