Re: 2009 Projected Red Sox WAR Results

看板RedSox作者時間17年前 (2009/01/11 16:38), 編輯推噓3(303)
留言6則, 3人參與, 最新討論串2/2 (看更多)
http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pAPYgBwn4o__4aHzBa42feA&gid=0 R.J. Anderson 計算版本,數字全部採用 2009 Chone Projection Hitter Pos PA wOBA WAR/700PA WAR Josh Bard CA 350 0.328 3.32 1.7 George Kottaras CA 350 0.314 1.97 1 Dustin Brown CA 50 0.301 1.68 0.1 Kevin Youkilis 1B 600 0.38 4.79 4.1 Mark Kotsay 1B 100 0.316 -0.31 0 Dustin Pedroia 2B 700 0.371 5.44 5.4 Julio Lugo 2B 100 0.319 1.28 0.2 Replacement 2B 50 -17.64 -1.3 Jed Lowrie SS 575 0.335 3.75 3.1 Julio Lugo SS 210 0.319 1.78 0.5 Mike Lowell 3B 550 0.338 3.73 2.9 Kevin Youkilis 3B 50 0.38 5.89 0.4 Jason Bay LF 700 0.368 2.66 2.7 Jacoby Ellsbury CF 650 0.351 4.72 4.4 Jon Van Every CF 50 0.309 1.17 0.1 J.D. Drew RF 550 0.369 4.42 3.5 Mark Kotsay RF 150 0.316 0.59 0.1 David Ortiz DH 600 0.413 5.25 4.5 Rocco Baldelli DH 100 0.352 1.53 0.2 Total 6485 0.353 3.63 33.6 Pitcher IP FIP WAR Josh Beckett 175 3.57 4.2 Jon Lester 160 4.25 2.4 D. Matsuzaka 170 4.02 3 Tim Wakefield 130 4.96 0.9 Brad Penny 135 4.5 1.6 John Smoltz 90 3.68 2 Clay Buchholz 15 4.17 0.2 Jon Papelbon 65 2.61 3.3 Delcarmen 60 3.44 1.2 Hideki Okajima 55 3.6 0.7 Masterson 50 3.91 0.4 Ramon Ramirez 60 3.47 0.6 Javier Lopez 55 4.3 0.1 David Aardsma 50 4.3 0.1 Takashi Saito 40 2.82 0.6 Rest 70 5.5 -0.3 Starters 940 4.15 14.4 Relievers 505 3.82 6.8 Total 1380 4.03 21.3 Group WAA WAR Hit 10.2 BR 0 Field 2 Hitters 33.6 Pitchers 21.3 TOTAL 54.9 Predicted Wins: 99.9 Team Proj. W 65 75 85 90 95 100 105 110 ====================================================== Red Sox 99.9 100 100 94 81 67 41 24 8 Yankees 99.3 100 100 94 81 67 41 24 8 Rays 95.5 100 99 92 76 60 34 19 6 Jays 80.6 96 75 33 13 6 1 0 0 Orioles 77.2 92 62 21 7 3 0 0 0 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 118.160.68.170 ※ 編輯: Belladonaa 來自: 118.160.68.170 (01/11 16:58)

01/11 18:05, , 1F
那個2壘替補 至少也給個最低能力吧 應該不會wOBA=0...
01/11 18:05, 1F

01/11 18:05, , 2F
Bay會不會太低了點@@"
01/11 18:05, 2F

01/11 18:09, , 3F
而且為什麼2B會有個無名替補 別隊至少都是有名字的
01/11 18:09, 3F

01/11 18:11, , 4F
replacement player 就是隨便拉3A上來 50PA 影響不大
01/11 18:11, 4F

01/11 18:28, , 5F
可是才50PA WAR就被-1.3 感覺差蠻多的
01/11 18:28, 5F

01/11 18:30, , 6F
一些較平常的選手通常不也都在0附近
01/11 18:30, 6F
文章代碼(AID): #19QQ_kdn (RedSox)
文章代碼(AID): #19QQ_kdn (RedSox)