Re: [閒聊] Rockies Top 20 Prospects for 2012
by John Sickels 2011-12-30
※ 引述《beckseaton (沒有運動會死)》之銘言:
: 1) Nolan Arenado, 3B, Grade A-: I love the combination of power production
: and a very low strikeout rate, just 53 whiffs in 517 at-bats. I also like his
: defense at third base, where he combines steadily-improving reliability with
: a strong arm and decent range. Scouts love his bat as much as the numbers do.
: Only negative is lack of speed, but he has All-Star potential.
1) Nolan Arenado 三壘手 A-
優異的長打輸出和非常低的被三振率(53 SO / 517 AB)
持續成長的臂力與防守範圍使他的三壘守備越來越值得信賴
球探們對他的評估和數字上的優異表現相去不遠
有成為明星三壘手的潛質,唯一的缺點就是腿太慢了
: 2) Drew Pomeranz, LHP, Grade A-: Lost velocity late in the year, but had
: extenuating circumstances (two-week layoff because of the trade with
: Cleveland, followed by appendectomy) and was still effective even with less
: zip on the fastball. Projects as a number two starter but could use some
: Triple-A action to polish up his changeup.
2) Drew Pomeranz 左投手 A-
去年季末的球速下滑是個非戰之罪(交易、切盲腸,導致他停機兩周)
但表現還是令人印象深刻
他應該要先去AAA好好精進變速球,縱使他已經大概能排在二號的位置了
: 3) Chad Bettis, RHP, Grade B: Borderline B+. 95 MPH sinker and a nasty slider
: were too much for California League hitters. Still working on curveball and
: changeup, preventing B+ at this time, but I like him a lot. Could be a number
: three starter or possibly a closer
3) Chad Bettis 右投手 B ~ B+
95英哩的伸卡球搭配變態滑球,曲球和變速球還在磨練中
大概可以成為一個三號先發或終結者
: 4) Trevor Story, SS, Grade B: More power than most shortstops, and he can
: stick at the position. Great arm, error rate should improve with experience.
: Also takes walks and steals bases. Main concern is tendency to uppercut,
: which could reduce batting average at higher levels. With proper development
: he can be a B+/A- prospect a year from now. . .perhaps more.
4) Trevor Story 游擊手 B
超乎一般游擊手的拋耳、強肩,以及隨經驗累積而逐漸減低的失誤率
還會選保送跟盜壘
主要麻煩是他越來越uppercut的揮棒將會降低他在更高階聯盟的打擊率
理想狀態下,明年他將可能成為一個B+ / A-的新秀,或更棒
: 5) Tim Wheeler, OF, Grade B: Broad range of skills: tapped into his power
: last year with 33 homers (plus three more in Arizona Fall League), could also
: steal 20 bases a year, draws some walks. Problems with left-handed pitching
: and a high strikeout rate preclude higher grade right now.
5) Tim Wheeler 外野手 B
破繭而出的拋耳,小聯盟夯了33支全壘打,秋聯再加3支
超過20次盜壘,還有一些保送
恐左和過高的被三振率降低他的評價
: 6) Tyler Anderson, LHP, Grade B: Borderline B-. Polished strike-thrower from
: University of Oregon, stuff is a tick better than the typical college finesse
: pitcher. Should be a fine number three starter assuming he doesn't catch
: whatever contagion messed up Christian Friedrich.
6) Tyler Anderson 左投手 B ~ B-
善於投好球的投手,有稍高於一般技巧派大學投手的stuff
只要別像Christian Friedrich一樣被搞壞他將會是一個稱職的三號
: 7) Wilin Rosario, C, Grade B-: Terrific throwing arm and plenty of power, but
: strike zone judgment has deteriorated. Looks like he may end up something
: like Miguel Olivo.
7) Wilin Rosario 捕手 B-
優異的臂力和拋耳,但是好球帶掌握能力下滑了
看起來他大概會變得像是Miguel Olivo
(那幹嘛要賣Iannetta...= =)
: 8) Kyle Parker, OF, Grade B-: Former Clemson quarterback has excellent power,
: but also has serious contact issues. We need to see what he can do outside
: the South Atlantic League and friendly Asheville.
8) Kyle Parker 外野手 B-
這位前Clemson大學的四分衛有傑出的爆發力,但也有嚴重的contact問題
他離開低階A後的表現將更值得觀察
: 9) Joe Gardner, RHP, Grade B-: I like him more than the numbers say I should,
: but I love the movement on his fastball. Could end up in relief if secondary
: pitches remain inconsistent.
9) Joe Gardner 右投手 B-
我喜歡他直球的軌跡,對他的欣賞超越數字上的表現
如果第二球路沒有發展成功的話他將會往牛棚發展
: 10) Josh Rutledge, SS, Grade C+: Borderline B-. Hit .348/.414/.517 in the
: California League, stole 16 bases. Plate discipline has improved since
: college at Alabama but could still use work. Likely to wind up at second base.
10) Josh Rutledge 游擊手 C+ ~ B-
高階一A加州聯盟 .348/.414/.517,16次盜壘,本壘板紀律比大學時期有進步
最後應該會轉任二壘
: 11) Kent Matthes, OF, Grade C+: Borderline B-: California League MVP hit .334
: with 23 homers in just 371 at-bats, season cut short by broken hand. Turns 25
: next month, has strike zone issues, need to see at higher levels.
11) Ken Matthes 外野手 C+ ~ B-
高階一A加州聯盟的MVP:在371個打數中有.334打擊率23支全壘打
手傷導致他的球季不完整
下個月就要滿25歲的他有選球方面的問題,高階聯盟的表現如何還要再看
: 12) Charlie Blackmon, OF, Grade C+: Perfect fourth outfielder profile: some
: power, some speed, makes contact, solid glove.
12) Charlie Blackmon 外野手 C+
完美的四號外野手模組:一些長打、一些速度,有contact有手套
: 13) Edwar Cabrera, LHP, Grade C+: Overmatched A-ball hitters with decent
: fastball and incredible changeup, still working on breaking ball. Scouts
: remain lukewarm despite superior numbers and we need to see him in Double-A.
13) Edwar Cabrera 左投手 C+
以不錯的速球和變態的變速球完全吃死一A的打者
變化球還在磨練
即使數字驚人但球探們還是對他興趣缺缺
我們需要觀察他在AA會有什麼表現
: 14) Christian Friedrich, LHP, Grade C+: Two disappointing Double-A seasons
: and this time he doesn't have excuse of a sore elbow. Stock has slipped, but
: still has a live arm and a chance to be a fourth starter or a relief option.
14) Christian Friedrich 左投手 C+
經過兩個失望的AA球季之後他的信任已經被用光了,這次沒有手肘痠痛可以當藉口
但他還是有隻新鮮的左手讓他有機會成為四號先發或左手牛
: 15) Tyler Matzek, LHP, Grade C+: He's still got the stuff. After going back
: to his high school mechanics, his command improved from abysmally awful to
: merely quite poor. Very difficult to get a read on. He had some good games
: late for Asheville, but some lousy ones, too. You could order Cabrera,
: Friedrich, and Matzek in any way, depending on if you are most scared of
: Cabrera's lack of breaking ball, Friedrich's crappy seasons in Double-A, or
: Matzek's command collapse.
15) Tyler Matzek 左投手 C+
他還是有stuff在
找回高中時的機制之後,他的command從爆爛升級到有點遜
以下的內容可能會讓人看不下去
回到Asheville(低階一A球隊)後他有幾場投得不錯,也有幾場爛球
你可以隨便排Cabrera、Friedrich、Matzek三位的順序
端看你覺得Cabrera的單調球路、Friedrich的超鳥球季、Matzek的command大崩潰哪個慘
: 16) D.J. LeMahieu, INF, Grade C+: I haven't given up hope that he can add
: some power, at least more doubles, and I think his defense is underrated.
16) D.J. LeMahieu 內野手 C+
我對他的拋耳已經不抱任何希望了,連二壘安打都不期不待
而且他的防守還低於平均
: 17) Rosell Herrera, SS, Grade C+: Will wind up at third base or outfield.
: Scouts like his switch-hitting offensive potential despite so-so numbers in
: the Pioneer League. Young at 18, still raw, high upside.
17) Rosell Herrera 游擊手 C+
以後會轉三壘或外野
球探喜歡他左右開弓的打擊潛力,18歲
稚嫩,高天花板
: 18) Rafael Ortega, OF, Grade C+: Didn't wow with his stats in the Sally
: League, but has tools, some speed and power potential, good glove, still just
: 20.
18) Rafael Ortega 外野手 C+
數據看起來很普通但他有不錯的tools--速度、拋耳、守備、20歲
: 19) Rob Scahill, RHP, Grade C+: Inning-eater with a nice sinker, good slider,
: chance to surprise in 2012 if he can improve his command.
19) Rob Scahill 右投手 C+
一個有很棒伸卡球和滑球的吃局人
如果持續精進command的話有機會成為2012年的驚奇
: 20) Hector Gomez, SS, Grade C: Strong glove, has some power and speed,
: injuries and plate discipline problems have held him back, could be a solid
: utility guy.
20) Hector Gomez 游擊手 C
好的守備,一點拋耳和速度
傷痛跟選球問題導致成績退步
可以成為一個不錯的工具人
: OTHERS: Cristhian Adames, SS; Jayson Aquino, LHP; Andrew Brown, OF; Albert
: Campos, RHP; Corey Dickerson, OF; Tommy Field, INF; Parker Frazier, RHP; Dan
: Houston, RHP; Jordan Pacheco, C; Ben Paulsen, 1B; Josh Slaats, RHP; Will
: Swanner, C; Peter Tago, RHP; Dillon Thomas, OF; Carl Thomore, OF; Dan
: Winkler, RHP.
: This is a solid farm system. On offense you have a future star third baseman
: in Arenado. Wheeler and Rosario have weaknesses but should be solid regulars
: or good role players. Story could be/should be excellent if he develops at a
: normal pace. Parker, Matthes, and Rutledge could all become regulars as well,
: although they all have weaknesses that could get exposed in Double-A.
這是一個堅強的農場系統,進攻方面有未來的全明星三壘手Arenado
Wheeler和Rosario雖然有些缺點但還是能成為固定先發或稱職的球員
Story如果發展正常的話也會很出色
Parker、Matthes、Rutledge也可能成為先發球員
雖然他們的缺點在升上AA之後將會更明顯
: Blackmon and LeMahieu won't be stars but both can contribute in the majors
: now. Herrera and Ortiz are a long way off but have upside. Gomez and Tulsa
: teammate Tommy Field will battle for utility roles. Gomez has the tools
: advantage but Field is a scrapper who should not be underestimated.
: Corey Dickerson is a tough one. He couldn't hit outside Asheville and scouts
: don't like him much, but 32 homers is a lot in any context and he deserves a
: full shot at higher levels. Let's see what he does in the California League.
Blackmon和LeMahieu不會先發但他們兩個目前已經都可以在大聯盟有所貢獻
Herrera和Ortiz(應該是Ortega)還很遙遠但有天份
Gomez和他的AA隊友Tommy Field會在UT的角色上競爭
Gomez有tool優勢,但Field也不容低估
球探們不喜歡Corey Dickerson但他的32支全壘打實在很搶眼
他在高階聯盟值得完整的出賽,期待他在加州聯盟的表現
: I am pro-Pomeranz and I also like 2011 draftee Tyler Anderson. Friedrich is
: an enigma who could still develop but might need a change of scenery. Cabrera
: and Matzek are both extremely interesting but for opposite reasons. Of the
: A-ball lefties, Matzek has the highest ceiling but also the highest bust
: potential.
: Bettis and Gardner both have power sinkers coveted by the organization.
: Either or both could end up in the bullpen, but Bettis' secondary stuff is
: better and I think he has the best shot at remaining a starter.
: Overall, I like the system. They have depth and a balance of players with
: tools and polish.
Pomeranz和2011首輪Tyler Anderson都很好
Friedrich的狀況是個謎,轉換角色後或許能蛻變
Cabrera和Matzek是最有趣卻又大異其趣的雙人組
Matzek是一A中天花板最高的左投,也有可能會是爆最大的那一個
Bettis和Gardner都有系統中最夢寐以求的強力伸卡,也都有可能會轉戰牛棚
但是Bettis的Stuff比較好而我覺得他最適合的位置還是先發
整體看來,我喜歡這個有深度而且球員發展均衡的農場
: http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/12/30/2671001/colorado-rockies-top-20-prospects-for-2012
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