Re: [農場] Top 20+ Prospects for 2009

看板Athletics作者ThomasHSNU (mimura *^^*)時間16年前 (2009/09/08 03:18)推噓5(5推 0噓 0→)

留言5則, 4人參與討論串2/2 (看更多)

※ 引述《Belladonaa ()》之銘言： : : Oakland Athletics Top 20 Prospects for 2009 : All grades are EXTREMELY PRELIMINARY and subject to change. Don’t get too : worried about exact rankings at this point, especially once you get out of the : top 10. Grade C+/C guys are pretty interchangeable depending on what you are : looking for. http://tinyurl.com/l2kxaz Oakland Athletics Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review This list was originally published December 12, 2008. This is a review of the PRE-SEASON list for 2009, not a revision of that list. This is a REVIEW of the old list. I'm not doing new grades or lists until I start working on the 2010 book. : 1) Trevor Cahill, RHP, Grade B+: Borderline A-. I like him an awful lot. Just : needs to cut down on the walks a bit. Rate him just a tad higher than Anderson : due to a better ceiling. 4.66 ERA with 79/64 K/BB in 158 major league innings, 165 hits. Would like to see more strikeouts, but given how much he was rushed this isn't a terrible season. : 2) Brett Anderson, LHP, Grade B+: Borderline A-. Very close to Cahill, stuff : not quite as impressive but more polished. 4.42 ERA with 119/41 K/BB in 147 innings, 150 hits in the majors. Components are better than Cahill's. : 3) Aaron Cunningham, OF, Grade B: A solid all-around player. Doesn’t have the : ceiling of some of these other guys, but a surer bet to reach his. Hitting .306/.376/.491 with 11 homers, 10 steals for Triple-A Sacramento. Hit .151/.211/.245 in 53 at-bats for Oakland. Will get more chances. : 4) Gio Gonzalez, LHP, Grade B. This may seem too high to some, but even in the : majors he struck out a batter per inning. I still like him. 2.51 ERA with 71/34 K/BB in 61 innings for Sacramento. 6.07 ERA with 81/45 K/BB in 73 innings for Oakland, 85 hits. Very frustrating pitcher. The high strikeout rate shows that he's got a load of potential, and he has nothing left to prove in the minors. : 5) Adrian Cardenas, 2B, Grade B: I think he’s a second baseman. Equivalent to : a college junior entering 2009. Hit .326/.392/.446 for Double-A Midland, .248/.317/.358 for Sacramento. Needs more Triple-A time. : 6) Chris Carter, 1B, Grade B: Enormous power,but defensive questions and spike : in strikeout rate prevent a B+. Hit .337/.435/.576 with 41 doubles, 24 homers, 82 walks, 101 RBI for Midland. Promoted to Sacramento and has hit three homers in his first eight games. Looks like a monster hitter. Just need to figure out position. : 7) Jemile Weeks, 2B, Grade B. I like him a lot due to across-the-board skills, : but I worry that he may be injury-prone like his brother, hampering his : development. Hit .299/.385/.468 in 50 games for Class A Stockton, .267/.327/.395 in 25 games for Midland. Slowed by injuries early. : 8) Sean Doolittle, 1B, Grade B: I think he’ll emerge as a .270-.290 hitter : with a solid OBP, 15-20 homers, and excellent defense. Hit .267/.364/.448 in 28 games for Sacramento, went on the DL May 9th with a knee injury. : 9) Michael Inoa, RHP, Grade B-: Very hard to grade. Terrific scouting reports, : projection, and youth stand out,but no track record and high attrition rate of : young pitchers are big dangers. Missed the whole year with an elbow injury. : 10) Vin Mazzaro, RHP, Grade B-: I don’t know what to make of him. Everyone : seems to be focusing on what he did at Midland, ignoring what he did at Kane : County, Stockton, and Sacramento. I want to see more. 2.38 ERA with 44/17 K/BB in 57 innings for Sacramento, 5.32 ERA with 59/39 K/BB in 91 innings for Oakland, 120 hits. Could be a decent inning-eater but I've always felt he was overhyped. : 11) James Simmons, RHP, Grade B-: Excellent command, but hittable.Stuff may : be a bit short to get beyond being a fourth starter. 5.42 ERA with 80/46 K/BB in 116 innings, 130 hits for Sacramento. Not wild about these ratios. : 12) Henry Rodriguez, RHP, Grade B-: Opposite of Simmons: blistering stuff but : big command problems. 6.05 ERA With 70/35 K/BB in 42 innings for Sacramento, 37 hits. Excellent K/IP ratio, few hits, but way too many walks. : 13) Josh Outman, LHP, Grade B-: Remains a personal favorite for me and I think : he is underrated by others. Could be solid fourth starter or a very good : reliever. Sort of a pitching equivalent of Cunningham: doesn’t have the : ceiling of some others, but a surer bet. 3.48 ERA with 53/25 K/BB in 67 innings for Oakland. Was pitching very well, until hurting his elbow. I was right about him; he's a very good pitcher. Too bad his arm didn't hold up. : 14) Brett Hunter, RHP, Grade B-: Huge upside here, but command and health are : issues until we get a bigger track record. Severe control problems, 6.85 ERA with 55/59 K/BB in 47 innings for Class A Kane County. : 15) Andrew Carignan, RHP, Grade B-: Could help quite soon in relief. Pitched just two innings for Stockton in June. : 16) Corey Brown, OF, Grade C+: Huge upside, but strikeout issues are a problem. Hitting .275/.360/.500 for Midland, limited to 62 games but playing well right now. : 17) Andrew Bailey, RHP, Grade C+: I still like him. Could help very soon in : the bullpen. 1.88 ERA with 76/22 K/BB in 72 innings, 44 hits for Oakland. Another personal favorite, a guy I liked before other people did. : 18) Tyson Ross, RHP, Grade C+: I think he’s an injury risk, but the upside is : here. 4.25 ERA with 108/52 K/BB in 131 innings between Stockton and Midland,115 hits. As written about in my trip report a couple of weeks ago, he's got good stuff but command is wobbly at times. : 19) John Donaldson, C, Grade C+: I think he’ll hit, but the glove looks like : a problem. Hitting .271/.382/.415 for Midland, 79 walks. Love the plate discipline, would like to see more home run power. : 20) Fautino De Los Santos, RHP, Grade C+: Enormous upside, but have to see how : things look after Tommy John. I’m conservative about that. Rehabbing in the Arizona Rookie League, 3.86 ERA with 16/4 K/BB in 12 innings so far. : 21) Sam Demel, RHP, Grade C+: Love the strikeouts, command could wobble in : Double-A. 0.61 ERA with 26/9 K/BB in 29 innings for Midland, 3.18 ERA with 30/20 K/BB in 28 innings for Sacramento. Has some command issues but could help sometime next year. : 22) Rashun Dixon, OF, Grade C+: Another enormous upside guy with question : marks. Hitting .214/.300/.281 for Vancouver in the Northwest League. Great tools, no skills yet. : 23) Jason Christian, SS, Grade C+: I thought he was a steal in the draft. : Worried some about strikeout rate, like tools and other skills. Hit .261/.341/.385 with 28 steals in 31 attempts for Class A Kane County. Went on the DL in July. : 24) Arnold Leon, RHP, Grade C+: Yet another interesting relief arm. Could rank : higher. 3.17 ERA with 61/25 K/BB in 71 innings for Midland, 65 hits. Could get a look next year. : 26) Petey Paramore, C, Grade C+: Great glove, lots of walks, doubts about rest : of bat. Hitting .233/.345/.300 for Kane County. Draws walks,but can't do anything else. : Others: Jeremy Barfield, OF; Dusty Coleman, SS; Pedro Figueroa, LHP; Craig : Italiano, RHP; Jared Lansford, RHP; Nino Leyja, SS; Cliff Pennington, SS; : Landon Powell, C; Danny Putnam, OF; Anthony Recker, C; Matt Spencer, OF; Matt : Sulentic, OF; Daniel Thomas, RHP. : If there is someone else that you really think should be included, make your : case. I always miss someone. Space is limited and some of the players above : will probably get cut if I have to add someone else. : SYSTEM IN BRIEF: : This system has a huge amount of depth now, but other than Anderson and : Cahill even the potential impact guys have a few doubts about them. I opted for : a conservative approach on a lot of these grades. Inoa was a tough grade, but : decided to approach him like a high-upside high school kid entering his draft : year. He could be literally anything from Juan Marichal to a guy who shreds his : shoulder in rookie ball and is never heard from again. : I expect complaints about ranking Outman ahead of guys like Hunter and De : Los Santos, and perhaps I just like him so much because I’ve been tracking him : since college, but I’m going with my gut on that one. Certainly some of the : guys behind him have higher upsides, so adjust your own ranking accordingly : depending on what you like yourself. : Overall, this system has dramatically improved over the last couple of : years thanks to aggressive trades and impressive drafting. I like how they have : mixed polished talent and upside guys in recent drafts. : http://www.minorleagueball.com/2008/12/12/690649/oakland-athletics-top-20-p Cahill and Anderson were B+ on the original list but I raised them to A- before the book went to press. Considering their lack of high-level minor league experience, I think they've done OK this year, particularly Anderson. Gio is more problematic, and I don't have any idea what they should do with him frankly. Carter's bat looks excellent. I'm glad that Outman and Bailey have done well since I pushed them as underrated prospects. Too bad about Outman's elbow. I like the 2009 draft, mixing in college players with an upside guy like Max Stassi. -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc) ◆ From: 122.117.152.63 ※ 編輯: ThomasHSNU 來自: 122.117.152.63 (09/08 03:24)